In the final session of the workshop, two members
of the EU-LDC Management Board summarised the foregoing workshop
sessions. The first speaker summarised the outcomes of the foregoing
sessions, while the second speaker focused on the lessons learnt
from the conference, and on the implications for the activities and
development of the EU-LDC Network.
As the world explores the ground about the
opportunity/desirability of a new round of multilateral trade
negotiations, two facts from the past need to be highlighted:
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Multilateral rules have been in favour,
historically, of the industrialised countries. The next round
needs to satisfy the needs and demands of the developing
countries.
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Trade liberalisation provides benefits to
developing countries in terms of trade expansion. However,
capturing these benefits is subject to time lags as a result of supply-side
constraints. Moreover, the policy outcome from trade
liberalisation efforts depends much on the implementation of flanking
policy measures.
Regarding a new round, the speaker made three
observations:
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The alternative to a multilateral round
may be the spread of regional trade agreements, many of
which contain features that do not benefit developing countries
and that would be rejected in the context of a New Round.
Particularly significant in this regard is the use of market
access as a strategic asset. This is, in itself, a very strong
argument for the developing countries to push for multilateral
trade rules.
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To the extent that developing countries do
not see with clarity the need for certain types of rules and,
more broadly speaking, they do not have much confidence in the
results of a future trade round, effective confidence
building measures are needed.
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A balance should be found between the
objective of comprehensive negotiations and the objective of
reaching an agreement over a reasonable time span.
The speaker finished by looking at the impact of
a new round on poverty. He noted that this relationship is not
straightforward, for three reasons:
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There is a need to distinguish between
short-term and long-term effects. Social safety nets to ease
the transition can be very useful in this regard. There is a
role here for development co-operation to be used for helping
finance these measures.
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The impact on developing countries will be
positive only if liberalisation of both foreign and domestic
markets goes hand in hand with the removal of major
distortions in the economy (particularly in areas such as
labour market flexibility or rules regarding anti-competitive
practices).
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The impact of trade liberalisation on poverty
will depend to a large extent on the kind of sectors that
will be liberalised. Liberalisation of agriculture or
textiles should have a positive effect on poverty, even though
parts of the gains might be cancelled out by the erosion of
preferences derived by the Least Developed Countries. If
liberalisation takes place on the "new agenda" items
the impact on poverty is less clear.
The second speaker presented a table, which
attempts to set out some of the lessons that can be drawn from the
conference and to highlight key issues for the future agenda where
further information/research is required. It points, also, to how
the EU-LDC Network, through its activities, may be effective in
contributing to future dialogue on these areas. This table can be
downloaded below.
Speakers: Ulrich Hiemenz (OECD Development Centre) and Chris
Stevens (IDS)